July 08 software revenue per console sold in YTD 2008 is the highest on the PS3 and lowest on the Wii. This means Wii sells consoles to people who don't buy a lot of games; and PS3 provides the best opportunity for new IPs and creative games. Higher attach rates also imply that AAA 3rd party software will be developed for PS3/360, while the Wii will get more Nintendo games and low-budget crap from the 3rd parties.
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Point taken. I did originally buy it for myself for the wealth of innovative games and entertainment that I'd be enjoying but I quickly learned that wasn't the case. My daughter who is 2 likes games, but isn't coordinated enough to use the normal controller, so I got the Wii thinking it be fun for her. Ironically enough she tries to hold my 360 controller when she plays in stead of the Wii remote. She can only play the most simple of the simplest games. I do still believe that a lot of people are buying them just because they are hard to find. They are cheap, but not really when you consider that other than in the rarest of cases, all multiplayer is done same console, you have to buy 3 extra controllers (60 bucks considering remote and nunchuck) with the 360 (and PS3), that's not the case. That's $180 you don't necessarily have to spend on the 360. So as much as it is cheap, these people are dishing out the dough, and considering how well "games" like Wii Fit are selling, I think it really has much less to do with price than anything else. I'll make a somewhat obvious estimation right now, when the 360 drops price to 199 for the core, it will still get smashed by the Wii. I'm almost willing to bet 360 sales won't actually go up that much at all, maybe 50k a month.

I wonder how many people who still own PS2s even play them any more? And I think they are selling so many right now just because of the price, same as Wii. I'm sorry, I have a Wii (had one a long time ago, got rid of it, I never played it, recently bought a new one for my two y/o...TWO year old??? and 8 y/o) and it is not that revolutionary. Ok, so I can do the same thing with my character by swinging this thing that I've been doing for 15 years with a button. The results of swinging around with very little actual representation on screen to my actual movements are not enough to warrant the amount of work it takes. I'm fine with pressing A. When swinging around a controller results in an actual representation of my movements I'll be impressed. Ok, golf and bowling have that to some degree, and that's it. My point, people are buying the Wii cause of its price, and elmo-level fadism. IMHO anyway.

On the PS2 vs PS3 ownership issue, i think there isnt enough information to arrive to definitive conclusions. Theres is still over 50% PS2 owners unacounted for/that do not own another system. So the valuable data point is which system are they more likely to purchase next.
On the other hand at retail Wii is obviously the cheaper console, and largely considered a non-hardcore experience which I would argue is what the PS2 now delivers and what the XBOX arcade is targeting. So it may be accurate after all, but can we segment that for non-hardcore console owners?
Something that may support the above: Maybe the Sony strategy of continuing to sell PS2 is costing the PS3, how likely are you to buy both a PS2 and a PS3 in the same year? With the PS3 already considered the most expensive system is easier to excuse the addition/diversification of another console manufacturer at a cheaper price, than it is to simply get the sequel for a lot more.

Given that last fact, it will be interesting to see what EAs reaction is, i.e. do they decide they need to promote better or make games more mass market. I know promoting a football title isn't something they've had to do much at all in the last decade and less in the last few years thanks to the exclusive license.

Brian
www.brianwoods.com