Analysts: US Software Sales Down In December, Hardware Up

Analysts: US Software Sales Down In December, Hardware Up

Wedbush Morgan and EEDAR have issued December 2009 sales predictions for the US games industry ahead of the NPD Group’s release of monthly market data later this week.

Industry software sales have fallen for eight of the last nine months, and Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter expects sales to decline again in December, primarily due to “weak music sales”.

Pachter forecasts software sales of $2.45 billion, down 12 per cent compared to last year’s $2.77 billion. Music genre sales are thought to have declined from $468 million in December 2009 to $250 million.

December’s bestselling game is expected to be Nintendo’s DS exclusive The Legend Of Zelda: Spirit Tracks. Pachter says other top performers will be Call Of Duty Modern Warfare 2, New Super Mario Bros. Wii, Wii Sports Resort, Wii Fit Plus, Left 4 Dead 2 and Assassin’s Creed 2.

On the hardware front Pachter expects a seven per cent increase in total units sold, with declines in PS2, DS and PSP sales compared to December 2009. Wii sales are thought to have risen by 49 per cent to top three million units, as previously reported, while PS3 sales could be up as much as 100 per cent, according to EEDAR.

Wedbush / EEDAR hardware sales predictions (change year-on-year):

Wii – 3,200,000 (49%) / 3,000,000 (40%)
DS – 2,450,000 (-19%) / 2,800,000 (-8%)
PS3 – 1,400,000 (93%) / 1,450,000 (100%)
Xbox 360 – 1,350,000 (-6%) / 1,490,000 (3%)
PSP – 650,000 (-36%) 7,00,000 (-31%)
PS2 – 350,000 (-15%) / 350,000 (-15%)
Total – 9,400,000 (7%) / 9,790,000 (11%)

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