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DS2 To Release Within 15 Months – EEDAR

Tom Ivan's picture

By Tom Ivan

January 15, 2010

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EEDAR analyst Jesse Divnich has predicted that Nintendo will announce a true successor to the DS later this year ahead of a 2011 launch.

“We believe that due to the aging technology, the possibility of new competitors in 2011, a decline in publisher support and piracy, Nintendo will launch a successor to the DS within the next 15 months, and likely announce such in the next eight months,” he said in a research note.

“Nintendo has always had a controlling stake in the handheld market, despite facing numerous competitors, and EEDAR believes one of the biggest reasons for Nintendo’s success in the handheld market is their ability to remove opportunity gaps for competitors to enter. Nintendo’s transition from the GBA to the DS, a year earlier than anticipated, was a brilliant strategy to remove any upper hand the Sony PSP could have by being first to market.

“Piracy continues to be an issue, not just for Nintendo, but for its third-party publishers as well. Whilst the release of the DSi has slowed down piracy, that slow down will only be temporary as hackers have already managed to bypass the new security systems built into the hardware.

“Additionally, many publishers including Sega, Capcom, and now UbiSoft have all expressed that they may be reducing their exposure to Nintendo’s consoles, which will likely lead to heavy declines in both hardware and software sales for the Nintendo DS.”

Divnich also suggested that “any DS successor will most likely be backwards compatible”.

The analyst’s comments come shortly after Nintendo president Satoru Iwata was reported to have spoken openly for the first time about the features that the DS successor will offer.

"[It will have] highly detailed graphics, and it will be necessary to have a sensor with the ability to read the movements of people playing," the executive told Japanese newspaper Asahi.

Nintendo’s US division later claimed that Iwata “did not make any comments regarding the functions of Nintendo's future hardware systems”, suggesting the executive was “misinterpreted", although the paper has since told Kotaku that "the article quoted Nintendo president Satoru Iwata's comment accurately."

In October last year it was rumoured that Nvidia had been lined up to supply a “Tegra system-on-chip processor” for the successor to the DS. It was also speculated that the new handheld would launch in late 2010, featuring “smarter” graphics and DS backwards compatibility.

DubsTF's picture

Great job, Edge! Just keep repeating/amplifying every silly thing that comes out of these analysts' mouths without any analysis or critical thinking whatsoever.

Kenology's right: DS2 is the new WiiHD, and I'm already just as sick of hearing about its supposed existence and inevitability.

savagehenry's picture

They're just reporting the news Dub's you don't have to take it so seriously!!

DubsTF's picture

Speculation ≠ news.

savagehenry's picture

If you say so!

I'm quite interested in the speculation.. maybe others are too :P

DubsTF's picture

That's great! You and these others should be well served here at the increasingly irrelevant press release mill, analyst fanclub and willing industry mouthpiece called Edge: The Global Game Industry Network. I guess those of us looking for actual intelligent analysis should look elsewhere.

savagehenry's picture

Yeah, maybe you should Dubs :D Run along now!!

Dr.Wily's picture

Nintendo needs a new handheld to stay on top of the PSP, despite the DS sales the PSP has actually managed to take 1/3 of handheld market, and if you compare the upcoming lineups in Japan 3rd party support is clearly shifting over to the PSP

Kenology's picture

That is the silliest comment I've read in a long time. It's factually inaccurate and makes very little sense.

As if it wasn't clear three years ago - the PSP is not in the same league as the DS in terms of sales and support. Sony's so-called 2009 PSP "renaissance" was a horrible failure, it's best-selling game of 2009 was a budget re-release, and all the biggest games have been on and are going to the DS.

Nobody is shifting any development resources to the PSP. That's just crazy talk! The DS will forever be on top of the PSP. The PSP is pretty much dead everywhere but Japan and it still can't compete with the DS in its strongest market.

Don't be delusional, dude!

Ben_Lathwell's picture

I'm not sure about this, its like the 'Wii HD', there is no real way that the DS could be upgraded to both be a fully blown new system and retain the interest of the current DS market as to mirror sales.

Why do you need a DS2 when all you want to do is Brain Training and read some books on it?

I would say a new Game Boy would be more likely, a PSP competitor (not that Nintendo really need to compete figures wise)

Kenology's picture

Yeah, after they just sold another 30 million units in 2009.

DS2 is the new Wii HD FUD.